Six Nations 2025: Who can win the Championship? Title permutations & points explained

Wales are competing against Italy in the battle to avoid the Wooden Spoon for finishing bottom of the table.
Wales, who finished sixth last year after losing every match, have secured three bonus points this year, but are propping up the standings after four straight defeats.
Italy have yet to pick up any bonus points, but beat Wales in round two.
Wales’ points difference is currently -65 which is superior to Italy’s -77 and could prove crucial.
In most scenarios, if Wales gain one more match point than Italy then they should finish higher than their rivals.
If the Italians gain a losing bonus point, Wales would need to secure two match points.
If Italy beat Ireland with a bonus point then Wales will definitely have the Wooden Spoon, regardless of what occurs in Cardiff.
If Italy win with no bonus points then Wales will need to secure a maximum victory against England and hope their points difference superiority remains.